Date

Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN)
Sea Ice Outlook 2016
Call for Pre-season and Informal Contributions

For more information, please contact:
Betsy Turner-Bogren at ARCUS
Email: betsy [at] arcus.org

For more information about SIPN, please go to:
http://www.arcus.org/sipn


The Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN) announces a call for pre-season
and informal contributions to the 2016 Sea Ice Outlook (SIO). These
contributions will be in addition to the regular SIO monthly reports in
June, July, and August that synthesize predictions for the September
monthly average extent of Arctic sea ice. For more information about the
SIO, please see: http://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook.

Pre-season and informal contributions provide a way to share information
on sea ice parameters or time periods not included in the regular
monthly reports as well as any early field observations, such as unusual
early season conditions. These contributions are valuable for
understanding initial conditions as well as sea ice dynamics throughout
the season.

The regular call for contributions for the June report will be made
later in May. The tentative schedule of the SIO 2016 monthly reports is
listed at the bottom of this announcement.

PRE-SEASON CONTRIBUTIONS
SIPN welcomes pre-season contributions with predictions, data, field
observations, or comments on sea ice conditions that might include:

  • Submissions of regional ice-free and ice-retreat dates (e.g., first
    day that ice concentration in a gridded zone drops below 15% or when
    melt ends). We encourage contributors to include either a gridded
    field, or regional mean value, and a graphic image that can be displayed
    on the SIPN website as well as a summary of the data and methods used to
    make these forecast.
  • Submissions of melt pond fraction, ice thickness, and any other sea
    ice parameter based on early-season data that could contribute to a
    status summary of pre-season conditions and help inform subsequent
    contributions to the regular SIO monthly report.

Pre-season contributions will be accepted immediately.

INFORMAL CONTRIBUTIONS
SIPN welcomes informal contributions that might include:

  • Sea ice extent or maps of sea ice probability in any month, not just
    September.
  • Sea ice freeze-up dates (e.g., maps of first day when ice
    concentration >15%),
  • Seasonal climate forecasts that may help guide ice forecasts (e.g.,
    temperature, North Atlantic Oscillation, Arctic Oscillation, El Nino
    Southern Oscillation).
  • Any field- or ship-based updates on ice conditions in the different
    regions such as sea ice morphology (e.g., concentration, ice type, floe
    size, thickness, snow cover, melt pond characteristics, topography),
    meteorology (surface measurements) and oceanography (e.g., temperature,
    salinity, upper ocean temperature).
  • Other information on Arctic sea ice conditions or predictions that do
    not otherwise fit within the regular monthly reports.

Please include a definition of the parameter(s) for which you are
sending information. All types and formats of scientific contributions
are welcome. Contributions may be sent in any form, including in MS
Word, PDF, or email text.

Informal contributions can be accepted at anytime throughout the season.

Pre-season and informal contributions will be posted to a webpage on the
SIPN website. However, if contributors prefer the information not be
shared online, please let us know that when you submit, and the
information will be shared only with SIPN Leadership team and SIO report
writing groups.

For more information, please go to:
https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2016/informal-contributions.

Contributions and questions should be sent to:
Betsy Turner-Bogren at ARCUS (betsy [at] arcus.org).


TENTATIVE SCHEDULE FOR SEA ICE OUTLOOK 2016 MONTHLY REPORTS


JUNE REPORT: (Based on May data)
23 May 2016: Call for Contributions for June Report
13 June 2016: Contributions Due for June Report
24 June 2016: June Report Released

JULY REPORT: (Based on May and June data)
29 June 2016: Call for Contributions for July Report
11 July 2016: Contributions Due for July Report
22 July 2016: July Report Released

AUGUST REPORT: (Based on May, June, and July data
27 July 2016: Call for Contributions for August Report
8 August 2016: Contributions Due for August Report
19 August 2016: August Report Released

POST-SEASON REPORT
Developed during September-November 2016
Note: A call for nominations for a post-season SIO Action Team will be
circulated in early September via the SIPN mailing list:
http://www.arcus.org/sipn/mailing-list.


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