2017
Publications
SIPN Team Peer-reviewed Publications:
Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., A. Barthélemy, M. Chevallier, R. I. Cullather, N. Fučkar, F. Massonnet, P Posey, W. Wang, J. Zhang, C. Ardilouze, C. M. Bitz, G. Vernieres, A. Wallcraft, and M. Wang. 2017. "Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea-ice forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales" Climate Dynamics (49: 1399, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3388-9).
Deemer, G.J., U. S. Bhatt, H. Eicken, P. G. Posey, J. K. Hutchings, J. Nelson, R. Heim, R. A. Allard, H. Wiggins, and K. Creek. 2017. "Broadening the sea-ice forecaster toolbox with community observations: A case study from the northern Bering Sea" Arctic Science (doi:10.1139/AS-2016-0054).
Wang, M., Q. Yang, J. E. Overland, and P. Stabeno. 2017. "Sea-ice cover timing in the Pacific Arctic: the present and projections to mid-century by selected CMIP5 models" Deep Sea Research II (accepted).
SIPN Network Participants Peer-reviewed Papers:
Bushuk, M., R. Msadek, M. Winton, G. A. Vecchi, R. Gudgel, A. Rosati, and X. Yang. 2017. "Summer Enhancement of Arctic Sea Ice Volume Anomalies in the September-Ice Zone" *J. Climate" (30, 2341–2362, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0470.1).
Bushuk, M., R. Msadek, M. Winton, G. A. Vecchi, R. Gudgel, A. Rosati, and X. Yang. 2017. "Skillful regional prediction of Arctic sea ice on seasonal timescales" Geophysical Research Letters (44, 4953–4964, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073155).
Chen, Z., J. Liu, M. Song, Q. Yang, and S. Xu. 2017. "Impacts of Assimilating Satellite Sea Ice Concentration and Thickness on Arctic Sea Ice Prediction in the NCEP Climate Forecast System" J. Climate 0, (https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0093.1).
Director, H. M., A. E. Raftery, and C.M. Bitz. 2017. "Improved Sea Ice Forecasting Through Spatiotemporal Bias Correction" J. Climate 0, (https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0185.1).
Dirkson, A., W. J. Merryfield, and A. Monahan. 2017. "Impacts of Sea Ice Thickness Initialization on Seasonal Arctic Sea Ice Predictions" J. Climate 30, 1001–1017 (https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0437.1).
Yang, Q., M. Wang, J. E. Overland, W. Wang, and T. W. Collow. 2017. "Impact of model physics on seasonal forecasts of surface air temperature in the Arctic" Mon. Weather Rev., 145(3), 773–782, (doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0272.1).
SIPN Network Participant Papers (edited but not-peer reviewed):
Notz, D. and C. M. Bitz. 2017. "Sea ice in Earth System Models" Chapter 12 in Sea Ice,Third Edition, ed. David Thomas, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Sea Ice Outlook Reports:
Bitz, C. M., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, J. Stroeve, W. Meier, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. E. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Hunke, G. Arruda, E. Blockley, F. Kauker, A. Petty, F. Massonnet, N. Sun, and M. Druckenmiller. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. January 2017. "Sea Ice Outlook 2016 Post-Season Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2016/post-season.
Stroeve, J., W. Meier, F. Massonnet, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, L. C. Hamilton, C. M. Bitz, J. E. Overland, H. Eicken, H. V. Wiggins, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Hunke, and U. S. Bhatt. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. June 2017. "Sea Ice Outlook June Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2017/june.
Overland, J., F. Massonnet, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, L. C. Hamilton, C. M. Bitz, J. Stroeve, W. Meier, H. Eicken, H. V. Wiggins, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Hunke, and U. S. Bhatt. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. July 2017. "Sea Ice Outlook July Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2017/july.
Bhatt, U. S., F. Massonnet, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, L. C. Hamilton, C. M. Bitz, J. Stroeve, W. Meier, H. Eicken, J. E. Overland, H. V. Wiggins, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, and E. Hunke. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. August 2017. "Sea Ice Outlook August Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2017/august.
Presentations - Oral
14th Conference on Polar Meteorology and Oceanography - January 2017
Wang, M., “Sea ice evolution in the Pacific Arctic by selected CMIP5 models: the present and the future.”
Polar Prediction Workshop - March 2017
Stroeve, J. "Preparing for the Sea Ice Outlook Season 2017 and SIPN2."
Stroeve Presentation to Polar Prediction Workshop (PDF - 5.77 MB)
Bitz, C. M., “Butterflies, Frogs, and Polar Bears: A Decade of Sea Ice Prediction.”
Wang, M., “Sea ice evolution in the Pacific Arctic by selected CMIP5 models: the present and the future.”
Marine Environmental Observations, Predictions and Response (MEOPAR) Workshop - Ottawa, October 2016
Eicken, H. “Sea ice observations and predictions for ice use.”
ARCUS Arctic Research Seminar Series - Washington, DC, May 2017
Eicken, H. “Observations and Predictions for Arctic sea-ice use: Perspectives from coastal Alaska.”
Presentation at Interagency Arctic Research Policy Committee (IARPC) Sea Ice Collaboration Team Meeting - 23 October 2017
Presentation by Ed Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, "Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN) Update: How Did the Sea Ice Outlook Do in Summer 2017?"
IARPC Collaborations member weblink for meeting: https://www.iarpccollaborations.org/members/events/8937
Presentations - Posters
7th Symposium on the Impacts of an Ice-Diminishing Arctic on Naval and Maritime Operations - July 2017
Wiggins, H. V., Sheffield Guy, L., Turner-Bogren, B., and R. Rich. "Collaborations for Arctic Sea Ice Information and Tools."
Sea Ice Collaborations Poster (PDF - 2.5MB)
2016
Publications
Hutchings, J., N. Hughes, A. Orlich, S. MacFarlane, A. Cowan, L. Farmer, K. Faber (2016) Ice Watch: Standardizing and Expanding Arctic Ship Based Sea Ice Observations. White Paper - Arctic Observing Summit 2016, Fairbanks, AK. Published online at: http://www.arcticobservingsummit.org/aos-2016-white-papers-and-short-st…
J. Urrego-Blanco, N. Urban, E. Hunke , A. Turner, N. Jeffery. 2016). "Uncertainty Quantification and Global Sensitivity Analysis of the Los Alamos Sea Ice Model." Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 121, DOI:10.1002/2015JC011558.
E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, A. Barthélemy, M. Chevallier, R. Cullather, N. Fučkar, F. Massonne, P. Posey, W. Wang, J. Zhang, C. Ardilouze, C. M. Bitz, G. Vernieres, A. Wallcraft, and M. Wang. "Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea-ice: Forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales." 13 October 2016. Climate Dynamics.
(DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3388-9)
L. Hamilton and J. Stroeve. "400 Predictions: the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook 2008–2015."
26 September 2016. Polar Geography (http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1088937X.2016.1234518)
Stroeve, J., Crawford, A., Stammerjohn, S. June 2016. "Using Timing of Ice Retreat to Predict Timing
of Fall Freeze-up in the Arctic". Geophysical Research Letters (Research Letter: 10.1002/2016GL069314)
SIPN Input Into the New IARPC 5-Year Plan:Input to IARPC 5-Year Plan (PDF)
Witness the Arctic Newsletter Articles:
* Winter 2016: https://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2016/1/article/25080
* Spring 2016: https://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2016/2/article/25672
* Fall 2016: https://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2016/3/article/26062
Sea Ice Outlook Reports:
Stroeve, J., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, C. M. Bitz, W. Meier, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, and E. Hunke. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. June 2016. "Sea Ice Outlook June Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2016/june.
Bitz, C. M., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, J. Stroeve, W. Meier, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, and E. Hunke. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. July 2016. "Sea Ice Outlook July Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2016/july.
Overland, J., J. Stroeve, C. M. Bitz, W. Meier, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, and E. Hunke. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. August 2016. "Sea Ice Outlook August Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2016/august.
Presentations - Oral
ARCUS Arctic Research Seminar/Webinar Series
Eicken, Hajo. 30 November 2016. "Observations and Predictions for Arctic Sea-Ice Use: Perspectives from Coastal Alaska". https://www.arcus.org/research-seminar-series
Year of Polar Prediction (YOPP)/Marine Environmental Observation Prediction and Response (MEOPAR) Expert Forum
Eicken, Hajo. October 2016. http://meopar.ca/calendar/event/expert-forum-on-implementation-of-the-y…
Interagency Arctic Research Policy Committee (IARPC) Sea Ice Collaboration Team's June 2016 Meeting
Cecilia Bitz. "Summary of Polar Prediction Workshop 2016"Bitz Presentation to IARPC (PDF - 5.2MB)
Polar Prediction Workshop - May 2016
Cecilia Bitz. 2016. "The Sea Ice Prediction Network"Bitz SIPN Presentation (PDF)
Presentations - Posters
Polar Prediction Workshop - May 2016
Wiggins, H., Myers, B., Turner-Bogren, B. 2016. "Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN): Preliminary Patterns of Network Participation: December 2013-March 2016"SIPN Poster (PDF)
2015
Publications
E Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, RI Cullather, W Wang, J Zhang, CM Bitz. Model forecast skill and sensitivity to initial conditions in the seasonal Sea Ice Outlook. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (19), 8042-8048. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065860/full
Kaminski, T., F. Kauker, H. Eicken, and M. Karcher (2015), Exploring the utility of quantitative network design in evaluating Arctic sea-ice thickness sampling strategies. The Cryosphere, 9, 1721–1733.
Stroeve, J., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Guemas, V., Howell, S., Massonnet, F., Tietsche, S. June 2015. "Improving Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice Extent". EOS Earth & Space Science News. (https://eos.org/features/improving-predictions-of-arctic-sea-ice-extent)
Hamilton, L., 2015. "What People Know." Environmental Studies and Sciences. doi: 10.1007/s13412-015-0222-3
(http://www.academia.edu/10366212/What_people_know)
Hamilton, L., June 2015. "Polar facts in the age of polarization." Polar Geography
DOI: 10.1080/1088937X.2015.1051158 (http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1088937X.2015.1051158)
Witness the Arctic Newsletter Articles
Hamilton, L. June 2015. "Tracking Public Knowledge and Perceptions About the Arctic"
(http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2015/2/article/23160)
SIPN updates in SEARCH articles:
* Fall 2015 (https://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2015/3/article/24455)
* Spring 2015 (http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2015/2/article/23164)
* Winter 2015 (http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2015/1/article/22948)
Sea Ice Outlook Reports:
Bitz, C. M., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, J. Overland, J. Stroeve, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Hunke, and F. Massonnet. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. June 2015. "Sea Ice Outlook June Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2015/june.
Meier, W., J. Stroeve, C. M. Bitz, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Hunke, and F. Massonnet. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. July 2015. "Sea Ice Outlook July Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2015/july.
Meier, W., J. Stroeve, C. M. Bitz, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, and E. Hunke. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. August 2015. "Sea Ice Outlook August Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2015/august.
Stroeve, J., W. Meier, C. M. Bitz, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Hunke, N. Barton, M. Druckenmiller, N. Fuckar, F. Massonnet, A. Petty, and A. Slater. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. December 2015. "Sea Ice Outlook 2015 Post-Season Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2015/post-season.
Presentations - Oral
6th Symposium on the Impacts of an Ice-Diminishing Arctic on Naval and Maritime Operations
Bitz, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. July 2015 "Arctic Sea-Ice Prediction: Challenges and Opportunities"
(http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/star/documents/meetings/Ice2015/dayTwo/…)
Polar Prediction Project, YOPP Summit 13-15 July 2015, WMO Headquarters, Geneva, Switzerland
Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Bitz, C. July 2015. "The Sea Ice Prediction Network"
(http://www.polarprediction.net/fileadmin/user_upload/redakteur/Home/YOP…)
Presentations – Posters
American Geophysical Union 2015 Fall Meetings
Turner-Bogren, B., Wiggins, H., Stroeve, J. December 2015. "Arctic Sea Ice Predictability and the Sea Ice Prediction Network"
https://www.arcus.org/sipn/meetings/workshops/december-2015
6th Symposium on the Impacts of an Ice-Diminishing Arctic on Naval and Maritime Operations
Wiggins, H., Stroeve, J., Turner-Bogren, B. July 2015 "Arctic Sea Ice Predictability and the Sea Ice Prediction Network (SIPN)"
(http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/star/Ice2015Posters.php)
2014
Publications
Geophysical Research Letters
Stroeve, J., Hamilton, L., Bitz, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. April 2014. "Predicting September sea ice: Ensemble skill of the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook 2008-2013"
DOI: 10.1002/2014GL059388
(http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059388/full)
Journal of Climate
Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., and C.M. Bitz, May 2014: Characteristics of Arctic Sea-Ice Thickness Variability in GCMs. J. Climate. Volume 27, pages 8244-8258. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00345.1, (http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ed/BlanchardWrigglesworth_Bitz_2014_JC…)
US CLIVAR Variations
Bitz, C.M. and Stroeve, J. 2014: "Arctic sea ice predictability", US CLIVAR Variations Newsletter, Vol. 21, No. 3, pages 24-26. Eds. Judah Cohen and Kristan Uhlenbrock,
(http://marine.rutgers.edu/~francis/pres/2014Variations12-3.pdf)
The Carsey School of Public Policy, University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository
Hamilton, L. May 2014. "Do you Trust Scientists About the Environment?" University of New (scholars.unh.edu/carsey/213/)
Witness the Arctic Newsletter Articles
Hamilton, L., Bitz, C., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E., Cutler, M., Kay, J., Meier, W., Stroeve, J., Wiggins, H. June 2014. "Sea Ice Prediction has Easy and Difficult Years"
(http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2014/2/article/21066)
ARCUS Editors, February 2014. "Sea Ice Prediction Network Launches Series of Community Activities"
(http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2014/1/article/20439)
SIPN updates in SEARCH articles:
* Fall 2014 (http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2014/3/article/22788)
* Winter 2014 (http://www.arcus.org/witness-the-arctic/2014/1/article/20429)
Sea Ice Outlook Reports:
Meier, W., J. Overland, J. Stroeve, C. M. Bitz, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Hunke, and F. Massonnet. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. June 2014. "Sea Ice Outlook June Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2014/june.
Meier, W., J. Stroeve, C. M. Bitz, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Hunke, and F. Massonnet. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. July 2014. "Sea Ice Outlook July Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2014/july.
Meier, W., J. Stroeve, C. M. Bitz, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Hunke, and F. Massonnet. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. August 2014. "Sea Ice Outlook August Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2014/august.
Stroeve, J., C. M. Bitz, W. Meier, H. Eicken, L. C. Hamilton, H. V. Wiggins, P. Jones, J. Overland, M. Wang, J. Hutchings, A. Tivy, E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. Hunke, V. Guemas, S. Howell, F. Massonnet, and S. Tietsche. Editors: Wiggins, H. V. and B. Turner-Bogren. December 2014. "Sea Ice Outlook 2014 Post-Season Report." Published online at: https://www.arcus.org/sipn/sea-ice-outlook/2014/post-season.
Presentations - Oral
American Geophysical Union Fall Meetings
Stroeve, J. December 2014. "Towards Improving Sea Ice Predictability: Evaluating Climate Models Against Satellite Sea Ice Observations"
(https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm14/meetingapp.cgi#Paper/3661)
Hamilton, L. December 2014. "Public Perceptions of Arctic Change"
(https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm14/meetingapp.cgi#Paper/30940)
Presentations - Posters
American Geophysical Union Fall Meetings
Wiggins, H., Stroeve, J., December 2014. "Arctic Sea Ice Predictability and the Sea Ice Prediction Network"
(https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm14/meetingapp.cgi#Paper/19819)