Meeting
2016 SIPN Workshop
Presentation Type
plenary
Presentation Theme
Predictability
Abstract Authors

Marika Holland, National Center for Atmospheric Research, mholland [at] ucar.edu

Abstract

A number of previous studies have provided insights on the mechanisms driving predictability of sea ice on seasonal to decadal timescales. Traditionally, many of these studies were focused on large-scale sea ice properties, such as the total northern hemisphere ice extent. These studies were important contributions to our understanding of factors that influence sea ice forecasting skill. However, users of sea ice forecasts have the need for more specific regional and temporal information, for example on the ice edge location or the timing of ice retreat in various locations. Here I will discuss some of these stakeholder needs and some recent work that explores the predictability of related properties. I will also present some new analysis that uses simulations from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) to assess mechanisms affecting predictability of some societally-relevant sea ice properties.

Time
-