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Agenda last updated: 26 November 2003 |
| Sunday, 26 October
2003 |
| 06:30 pm - 09:30
pm |
Icebreaker Reception and Registration
(International Promenade) |
Day
1 - Monday, 27 October 2003
Theme: Changes and Impacts (Plenary Sessions
in Bay Auditorium) |
| 07:30
am - 08:30 am |
Registration
(Entry Lobby) |
| 08:00 am |
Continental breakfast
(Kiosks) |
| 08:30 am |
Welcome
and Introductions
James Overland
Session
Chair
Chair, Open Science Meeting Organizing Committee
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |
| 08:50 am |
Findings of the Recent Arctic Climate
Impact Assessment Robert Corell
Senior Fellow
Harvard University and American Meteorological Society |
| 09:20 am |
Regional View: Perceptions and Concerns
About Change Caleb Pungowiyi
President, Robert Aqqaluk Newlin, Sr. Memorial Trust |
| 09:50 am |
Inuit and Climate Change: Influencing the
Global Agenda Sheila Watt-Cloutier
Chair, Inuit Circumpolar Conference |
| 10:20
am |
BREAK |
| 10:50 am |
Introduction to Parallel Science Sessions
Craig Nicolson
University of Massachusetts |
| 11:10 am |
Plenary Discussion |
| 11:30
am |
LUNCH (Harbor
Dining Room) |
| 01:00 pm |
Parallel Science Sessions: Changes
and Impacts SEARCH has been motivated
by observations in recent years of a complex of seemingly
interrelated, decadal scale, pan-Arctic changes. These
have been seen on land, in the sea, and in the atmosphere
and appear connected to changes at lower latitudes. Each
parallel session will begin with a set of contributed
papers and then will open for discussion aimed towards
updating our understanding of previously observed changes,
exploring new changes, and evaluating their consequences. |
| |
I. Changes
on Land (Bay Auditorium) Topics such
as, but not limited to, snow cover; permafrost; glaciers;
hydrology; species composition, distribution, and abundance;
subsistence harvesting; carbon (CO2
and methane)
Co-chairs: Matthew Sturm, Cold Regions Research and Engineering
Laboratory
Bruce Forbes, University of Lapland |
| |
II.
Changes in the Sea (Sound Room)
Topics such as, but not limited to, salinity, temperature,
currents, nutrients, sea ice, marine ecosystems (including
people, marine mammals and fisheries)
Co-chairs: George Hunt, University of California Irvine
Motoyoshi Ikeda, Hokkaido University
|
| |
III.
Changes in the Atmosphere (Cove Room)
Topics such as, but not limited to, atmospheric
pressure and circulation; temperature; cloudiness; precipitation
and evaporation
Co-chairs: Hans von Storch, GKSS Research Centre
Richard Moritz, University of Washington |
| |
IV.
Coastal Processes (Marina Room)
Topics such as, but not limited to, fate and transport
of materials, erosion, effects on human communities
Co-chairs: Volker Rachold, Alfred Wegener Institute
Steven Solomon, Natural Resources Canada |
| 04:30 pm |
Poster Session/Reception with cash bar
(International Promenade) |
| 06:30 pm |
Buffet
DINNER and Sea Level Rise Beach Party - LIVE MUSIC
(Odyssey Maritime Discovery Center) |
Day
2 - Tuesday, 28 October 2003
Theme: Feedbacks (Plenary Sessions in Bay Auditorium) |
| 08:00
am |
Continental breakfast
(Kiosks) |
| 08:30 am |
SEARCH
Vision and Core Hypotheses
James Morison
Session
Chair
Chair, SEARCH Science Steering Committee
University of Washington |
| 09:00 am |
The Nature, Measurement, and Modeling of
Feedbacks Judith Curry
Georgia Institute of Technology |
| 09:30 am |
Arctic Climate Simulations by Coupled Models
Annette Rinke
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research |
| 09:50 am |
Terrestrial Feedbacks: Vegetation, Carbon,
and Heat F. Stuart Chapin
University of Alaska Fairbanks |
| 10:10
am |
BREAK |
| 10:40 am |
The Freshwater Cycle and its Role in the
Pan-Arctic System Charles Vörösmarty
University of New Hampshire |
| 11:00 am |
Sea
Ice: Two Perspectives
Was Sea Ice Quite Thin in the 1990's? Yes
D. Andrew Rothrock
University of Washington
Inter-Annual Variability in Arctic Sea Ice Thickness
from Space
Seymour Laxon
University College London |
| 11:40 am |
Human-Environment
Relations: Responding to the Challenges and Opportunities
of Arctic Environmental Change
Mark Nuttall
University of Alberta |
| 12:00
pm |
LUNCH (Harbor
Dining Room) |
| 01:30 pm |
Parallel Science Sessions: Feedbacks
An important working hypothesis of SEARCH is that
the complex of pan-Arctic changes is driven by a change
in the atmospheric circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.
To put this in perspective, it is also hypothesized that
feedbacks within the arctic system are important in the
complex of change, and that some of these feedbacks, along
with other linkages to lower latitudes, are important
to changes on a global scale. Each parallel session will
begin with a set of contributed papers and then will open
for discussion of feedbacks and linkages such as, but
not limited to, ice-albedo feedback, vegetation-carbon
feedback, effect of the freshwater cycle on global thermohaline
circulation, and the nonlinear combined effects of environmental
change and human activity on the ecosystem. |
| |
I.
Social Feedbacks (Marina Room)
Co-chairs: Stewart Cohen, University of British
Columbia and Environment Canada
Matthew Berman, University of Alaska Anchorage
|
| |
II.
Biological Feedbacks (Sound Room)
Co-chairs: Sue Moore, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
Joshua Schimel, University of California Santa Barbara |
| |
III.
Physical Feedbacks (Bay Auditorium)
Co-chairs: Michael Steele, University of Washington
Stephen Vavrus, University of Wisconsin |
| |
IV.
Drivers and Causes (This session relates
to Day 3 plenary) (Cove Room)
Co-chairs: James Overland, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration
Mark Serreze, University of Colorado
|
| 04:30 pm |
BREAK |
| 05:00 pm |
Panel Discussion: Connections and
Key Scientific Issues (Bay Auditorium) This
plenary session will provide an opportunity to further
develop and integrate the ideas and discussions from the
first two days of Keynote presentations and the "Changes
and Impacts" and "Feedbacks" parallel sessions. The panel
discussion will begin with an overview by the moderator,
followed by several questions posed to the panelists.
Each panelist will have an opportunity to address the
questions from the perspective of his or her expertise.
The brief panel presentations will be followed by an open
moderated discussion that includes comments and questions
from all panelists and members of the audience.
Moderator:
Ron Clarke, Marine Conservation Alliance
Panelists: Mark Dyurgerov,
University of Colorado
Jennifer
Francis,
Rutgers University
Jack Kruse,
University of Massachusetts
Glen MacDonald,
University of California Los Angeles
Peter Schlosser,
Columbia University
Gaius Shaver,
Marine Biological Laboratory
|
| 06:30 pm |
Poster Session/Reception with hors d’oeuvres
and cash bar (International Promenade) |
| 08:00 pm |
Bering Ecosystem Study (BEST) Open Meeting
(Sound Room) George Hunt, Chair |
Day
3 - Wednesday, 29 October 2003
Morning Theme: Drivers/Causes (Plenary Sessions
in Bay Auditorium) |
| 08:00
am |
Continental breakfast
(Kiosks) |
| 08:30 am |
Drivers
and Causes of Arctic Environmental Change
Mark Serreze
Session
Chair
University of Colorado |
| 08:50 am |
Natural
and Anthropogenic Drivers of Arctic Climate Change
Gavin Schmidt
NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies |
| 09:20 am |
Interannual Variations of Polar Climate:
Relationship to Annual Modes Murry Salby
University of Colorado |
| 09:50
am |
BREAK |
| 10:20 am |
Spatial and Temporal Modes of Arctic Climate
Variability Over the Past 600 Years Konrad Hughen
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution |
| 10:50 am |
The
Early 20th Century Warming in the Arctic: A Possible
Mechanism
Lennart Bengtsson
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology |
| 11:20 am |
Arctic System Synthesis: Is the Arctic
Headed Toward a New State? Jonathan Overpeck
University of Arizona |
| 11:50 am |
Student Presentation |
| 12:15
pm |
LUNCH (Harbor
Dining Room) |
| Afternoon
Theme: Understanding and Predicting Change (Bay
Auditorium) |
| 01:45 pm |
How
Does SEARCH Fit into the Larger Scheme of U.S. Climate
Change Science?
James Mahoney
Director, U.S. Climate Change Science Program
National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration |
| 02:15 pm |
How Do the Arctic and Subarctic Processes
Interconnect? What Have We Learned?
Robert Dickson
The Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture
Science |
| 03:05
pm |
BREAK |
| 03:30 pm |
Panel Discussion: Understanding
and Predicting Change in the Arctic System
This session will provide an opportunity to summarize and integrate the ideas and discussions from the three days of keynote presentations, parallel science sessions, and informal discussions. The panel discussion will begin with an overview by the moderator, followed by several questions posed to the panelists. Each panelist will have an opportunity to address the questions from the perspective of his or her expertise. The brief panel presentations will be followed by an open moderated discussion that includes comments and questions from all panelists and members of the audience. Moderator: Andrew
Revkin, New York Times
Panelists: Lawson Brigham,
U.S. Arctic Research Commission
F. Stuart Chapin, University of Alaska Fairbanks
Robert Dickson, The Centre for Environment, Fisheries
and Aquaculture Science
Jonathon Overpeck, Institute for the Study
of Planet Earth, University of Arizona
Elaine Abraham, Alaska Native Science Commission |
| 05:10 pm |
SEARCH Implementation: What is Being Done
and Where Are the Gaps? James Morison
Chair, SEARCH Science Steering Committee
University of Washington |
| 05:30 pm |
Adjournment |
| Day
4 - Thursday, 30 October 2003 |
| SEARCH
International Implementation Forum (International
Promenade) |
09:00
am - 12:00 pm: An open forum to provide the international
Arctic research community an opportunity to exchange
ideas on participation in SEARCH implementation. |