Date

Report and Webinar Available
Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictions of Arctic Sea Ice:
Challenges and Strategies
Polar Research Board
U.S. National Academy of Science

Webinar scheduled: Thursday, 29 November 2012 at 1:00 p.m. EST

For further information, please go to:
http://dels.nas.edu/Report/Seasonal-Decadal-Predictions-Arctic/13515

Or contact:
Katie Thomas
Email: kcthomas [at] nas.edu


A new report entitled "Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictions of Arctic Sea
Ice: Challenges and Strategies" is now available from the Polar Research
Board of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences (NAS). To download a free
PDF of the prepublication version of the report, please go to:
http://dels.nas.edu/Report/Seasonal-Decadal-Predictions-Arctic/13515.

Understanding and projecting future sea ice conditions is important to a
growing number of stakeholders, however, gaps in understanding the
interactions between arctic sea ice, oceans, and the atmosphere--along
with an increasing rate of change in the nature and quantity of sea
ice--is hampering accurate predictions. Although modeling has steadily
improved, projections by every major modeling group failed to predict
the record-breaking drop in summer sea ice extent in September 2012.
Establishing sustained communication between the user, modeling, and
observation communities could help reveal gaps in understanding, help
balance the needs and expectations of different stakeholders, and ensure
that resources are allocated to address the most pressing sea ice data
needs. This report explores major challenges in sea ice prediction and
identifies methods, observations, and technologies that might advance
capabilities to predict the extent of sea ice over seasonal to decadal
timescales.

A webinar presentation and discussion on report highlights with
co-chairs Jackie Richter-Menge and John Walsh will be held Thursday, 29
November 2012 at 1:00 p.m. EST.

To register for the webinar, to download a free PDF of the
prepublication, or for further information, please go to:
http://dels.nas.edu/Report/Seasonal-Decadal-Predictions-Arctic/13515.


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