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October 2007 ARCSS Synthesis Workshop | Agenda



ARCSS Synthesis Workshop
2–4 October 2007 (Tuesday–Thursday)
Embassy Suites Old Town Hotel
Alexandria, VA
PDF Final Agenda (PDF) - Last updated: 10/11/2007

Portions of this workshop were videotaped and are available through links to our Internet Media Archive.
Videos of each talk are available by clicking the: QT icon to the left of each powerpoint.
10:30 a.m.–12:30 p.m. ARCSS Committee Meeting Open Community Session (Salon A/B)
Tuesday, 2 October 2007 (Salon A/B, Lobby Level)
2:00 p.m.
Welcome and Introductions
Don Perovich, ARCSS Committee Member, SASS PI

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 520K - PPT)

2:15 p.m.
NSF ARCSS Program Goals and Expectations for ARCSS Synthesis
Neil Swanberg, ARCSS Program Director

(Oral presentation only)

2:30 p.m.
An Overview of ARCSS: Past, Present, and Future
Josh Schimel, ARCSS Committee Chair

QT Video 1 QT Video 2 PPT(Presentation: 4.1MB - PPT)

THE STATE OF ARCSS SYNTHESIS: CONTEXT FOR THE WORKSHOP
2:50 p.m.
Overview of SASS and SASS I Ideas for Synthesis Approaches
Don Perovich, ARCSS Committee Member, SASS PI

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 1.1MB - PPT)

3:15 p.m.
BREAK
Upcoming Science Planning Activities Quicktimes available under times for each section.
3:35 p.m.
A Synthesis of the Last 2000 Years of Climatic Variability from Arctic Lakes:
ARCSS "2 kyr" Project
Raymond Bradley, University of Massachusetts

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 15.2MB - PPT)

4:00 p.m.
Freshwater Integration (FWI) Synthesis
Larry Hinzman, International Arctic Research Center (IARC)

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 7.2MB - PPT)

4:25 p.m.
Study of the Northern Alaska Coastal System (SNACS)
Matthew Sturm, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory (CRREL)

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 19.6MB - PPT)

4:50 p.m.
Human Dimensions in ARCSS Synthesis: Overview of HARC Workshop
Maribeth Murray, University of Alaska Fairbanks, HARC Core Office Director

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 7.2MB - PPT)

5:15 p.m.
Shelf-Basin Interactions (SBI) Synthesis
Robert Campbell, University of Rhode Island

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 11.6MB - PPT)

5:40 p.m.
Group Discussion: ARCSS Synthesis and Goals for the Workshop
QT Video
6:00 p.m.
Poster Session and Reception (Atrium and Carter Room)
Wednesday, 3 October Wednesday, 3 October 2007 (Salon A/B, Lobby Level)
Full complimentary hotel breakfast available 7:00 a.m. (Breakfast Area, Lobby Level)
8:00 a.m.
Continental breakfast available outside meeting room
8:30 a.m.
Review of Day 1 and Day's Goal
SASS I: SHORT PROJECT PRESENTATIONS (9 PROJECTS)
8:45 a.m.
A Heat Budget Analysis of the Arctic Climate System
Mike Steele, University of Washington

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 7.6MB - PPT)

8:55 a.m.
Sunlight and the Arctic Atmosphere-Ice-Ocean System
Don Perovich, Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory (CRREL)

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 10.3MB - PPT)

9:05 a.m.
Synthesis of Modes of Ocean-Ice-Atmosphere Covariability in the Arctic System from Multivariate Century-Scale Observations
Martin Miles, Environmental Systems Analysis Research Center (ESARC)

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 3.2MB - PPT)

9:15 a.m.
Arctic Surface Air Temperatures for the Past 100 years: Analysis and Reconstruction of an Integrated Data Set for Arctic System Science
Harry Stern, University of Washington

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 8.7MB - PPT)

9:25 a.m.
Synthesis of Arctic System Carbon Cycle Research Through Model-Data Fusion Studies Using Atmospheric Inversion and Process-Based Approaches
A. David McGuire, University of Alaska Fairbanks

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 4.1MB - PPT)

Accompanying file for powerpoint.
PPT(gif: 1.8MB)

9:35 a.m.
Greening of the Arctic-Synthesis and Models to Examine the Effects of Climate, Sea-Ice, and Terrain on Circumpolar Vegetation Changes
Skip Walker, University of Alaska Fairbanks

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 18MB - PPT)

9:45 a.m.
A Synthesis of Rapid Meltwater and Ice Discharge Changes: Large Forcings from the Ice with Impacts on Global Sea Level and North Atlantic Freshwater Budgets
Mark Fahnestock, University of New Hampshire

QT Video (Presentation Not Available)

9:55 a.m.
Humans and Hydrology at High Latitudes
Richard Lammers, University of New Hampshire

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 4.6MB - PPT)

10:05 a.m.
Heterogeneity and Resilience of Human-Rangifer Systems: A Circumpolar
Social-Ecological Synthesis
Gary Kofinas, University of Alaska Fairbanks

QT Video PDF(Presentation: 1.5MB - PDF)

10:15 a.m.
Brief Discussion on SASS I Projects
QT Video
10:25 a.m.
BREAK
SASS II: SHORT PROJECT PRESENTATIONS (8 PROJECTS)
10:45 a.m.
The Roles of Clouds and their Accomplices in Modulating the Trajectory of the Arctic System
Jennifer Francis, Rutgers University

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 2.8MB - PPT)

10:55 a.m.
Toward Reanalysis of the Arctic Climate System - Sea Ice and Ocean Reconstruction with Data Assimilation
Andrey Proshutinsky, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 2.6MB - PPT)

Accompanying files for powerpoint.
PPT(avi: 120.1MB) PPT(avi: 119.7MB)

11:05 a.m.
Producing an Updated Synthesis of the Arctic's Marine Primary Production Regime and Its Controls
Patricia Matrai, Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 7.7MB - PPT)

Accompanying file for powerpoint.
PPT(mpeg: 2.1MB)

11:15 a.m.
The Impact of Changes in Arctic Sea Ice on the Marine Planktonic Ecosystem -
Synthesis and Modeling of Retrospective and Future Conditions
Jinlun Zhang, University of Washington

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 988K - PPT)

11:25 a.m.
Climate Response to Future Changes in Arctic Snow Cover and Sea Ice: A New Perspective from the High-Resolution NCAR CCSM3
Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 1.9MB - PPT)

11:35 a.m.
The White Arctic: A Snow-Impacts Synthesis for the Terrestrial Arctic
Christopher Hiemstra, Colorado State University

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 11.6MB - PPT)

11:45 a.m.
Understanding Change in the Climate and Hydrology of the Arctic Land Region: Synthesizing the Results of the ARCSS Fresh Water Initiative Projects
Eric Wood, Princeton University

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 1.3MB - PPT)

11:55 a.m.
Synthesis of Sea Ice, Climate, and Human Systems in the Arctic and Subarctic (SYNICE)
Astrid Ogilvie, University of Colorado

QT Video PPT(Presentation: 28.5MB - PPT)

12:05 p.m.
LUNCH Buffet (Salon A/B Atrium)
CROSS-PROJECT COORDINATION AND SYNTHESIS
1:00 p.m.

Plenary Discussion

QT Video 1 PPT(Perovich Presentation: 52K - PPT)

QT Video 2 PPT(Hinzman Presentation: 780K - PPT)

  • Ideas for Cross-project Coordination and Synthesis
  • Ideas for Break-out Group Topics
2:00 p.m.
BREAK
2:30 p.m.
Break-out Groups
4:00 p.m.

Break-out Group Reports and Plenary Discussion

  • Group 1 Report: Impacts of Snow and Ice Change
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 448K - PPT)

  • Group 2 Report: What Does an Ice Diminished Arctic Look Like?
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 36K - PPT)

  • Group 3 Report: What are the Impacts of a Warmer Actic, and What/ Where
    Are the Tipping Points?
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 32K - PPT)

  • Group 4 Report: What Would an Ice-Free Arctic Be Like, and What Would It's Implications Be?
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 2.3MB - PPT)

  • Group 5 Report: Arctic Warming: Causes, Consequences, and Connections
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 28K - PPT)


  • Plenary Discussion: Group Reports
  • QT Video

5:30 p.m.
Meeting Adjourns for Day
Thursday, 4 October 2007 (Salon A/B, Lobby Level)
Full complimentary hotel breakfast available 7:00 a.m. (Breakfast Area, Lobby Level)
8:00 a.m.
Continental breakfast available outside meeting room
8:30 a.m.
Plenary Discussion: Review of Day 2, Day's Goal, and Break-out Group Charge

QT Video PPT(Break-out Charge: 40K - PPT)

8:45 a.m.
Break-out Groups
10:00 a.m.
BREAK
10:30 a.m..
Break-out Groups (Continued)
12:30 p.m.
LUNCH Buffet (Salon A/B Atrium)
1:30 p.m.

Plenary Discussion: Reports from Break-out Groups, Discussion on Final Break-out Group Topics on Approaches to Coordination

  • Group 1 Report: Summer of 2007
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 2.5MB - PPT)

  • Group 2 Report: Broken Clockwork
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 2.1MB - PPT)

  • Group 3 Report: Primary Production
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 56K - PPT)

  • Group 4 Report: Data Tools
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 712K - PPT)

  • Group 5 Report: Rates of Change/ Feedback
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation: 3MB - PPT)

  • Group 6 Report: Human-Rangifer Vegetation
  • QT Video PPT(Presentation coming soon.)

2:00 p.m.

Break-out Groups

QT Video PPT(Final Charge: 42K - PPT)

3:00 p.m.
BREAK
4:00 p.m.

Plenary Discussion on Approaches to Coordination and Next Steps

QT Video PPT(Coordination and Next Steps: 32K - PPT)

5:00 p.m.
Meeting Adjourns